Election night in the US

2008-11-04

in Daily updates, Politics

Back on October 13th, FiveThirtyEight.com projected that Obama would win the presidential election by 351 electoral college votes to McCain’s 187. Their final projection, based on yesterday’s polls, was Obama 349, McCain 189.

Tonight, we get to see how good their projections really were (provided the election doesn’t degenerate into another drawn-out legal fiasco, that is).

[Update: 2:10am] The victory was decisive and exceptional. It cannot help but make a person more optimistic about our collective future.

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{ 3 comments… read them below or add one }

. November 5, 2008 at 2:16 am
R.K. November 5, 2008 at 3:19 pm

At this point, it looks likely that both FiveThirtyEight projections underestimated the Obama margin of victory. If he wins in North Carolina, his final figure will be 364 electoral college votes.

R.K. November 5, 2008 at 3:23 pm

Previous winning results:

Bush (2004): 286
Bush (2000): 271
Clinton (1996): 379
Clinton (1992): 370
Bush Sr. (1988): 426
Reagan (1984): 525
Reagan (1980): 489
Carter (1976): 297
Nixon (1972): 520
Nixon (1968): 301
LBJ (1964): 486
Kennedy (1960): 303

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